Skip to content

Winning alternative have more probability of losing (?)  #529

Description

@caepenna

One of my experiments have one alternative winning by 7% but it has lower probability of winning (41%). Does it make any sense? I can't figure out the math behind it.

There is still no sufficient confidence, and I think it will normalize with more participants, but I was intrigued by this and wanted to understand it better. Does anyone have any idea why this is going on?

screen shot 2018-08-08 at 17 36 23

Activity

Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment

Metadata

Metadata

Assignees

No one assigned

    Labels

    No labels
    No labels

    Type

    No type

    Projects

    No projects

      Milestone

      No milestone

      Relationships

      None yet

      Development

      No branches or pull requests

      Issue actions